Dan put up a post about the start of training camp and Doshi put up a big comment on his prediction so I thought it deserved a post of its own rather than being buried in the comments.
I can see a 9-7 season, playoff miss.
The offense looks to be this team’s strength this year. We’ve got two legitimate RB1s that have all the tools to succeed in a passing-oriented offense. While Martz tends to run passing offenses, they tend to be screens to set up bombs. Or bombs to set up screens. Forte works best in space, and Taylor is experienced enough and technically sound enough to work in pretty much any system we put him in.
Our TE situation is kinda a clusterf$%k right now. We’ve got two legitimate pass-catching TEs in Olsen and Clark. We’ve got two legitimate blocking TEs in Brandon and Davis. I know that the Martz offense likes having blocking TEs more than pass-catching TEs. I see Olsen and Clark being converted more into slot possession receivers under this offense. Which would kinda suck, as Earl Bennett looks most comfortable in that role, and has much better speed and toughness than Olsen at the very least.
I might be in the minority here, but I’m optimistic about our WR core. I see us as having 4 different WR2s with basically 4 different skill sets. I don’t see how any secondary core can easily plan for our WRs when we can pretty much swap them out at will and play matchups however we want. At least one of them could pass into legit WR1 territory. My best guess is DevA.
As far as QB, Cutler really wasn’t that bad last year IMO. I can attribute at least 10 of his picks directly to our putrid offensive line last year. And he was remarkably better in those last 2 games when idiot Turner decided to actually play Williams in his natural position of LT. Remember, Cutler was sacked 35 times last season, tied for 7th most on the list. And only Aaron Rogers had more TDs with more sacks than Cutler last year. Yes, he’s a Favre-ian gunslinger type, and he’s going to toss his picks during the season. But as long as the line can protect him and he can work with his WRs efficiently, I see a pretty decent passing team for this season.
And that brings me to the real question mark on this offense. The line. It was putrid last year. And there’s been zero big roster changes for this year. We got Mike Tice, a supposed line guru. But we’ve heard that before (Marinelli) and it didn’t help us. It will be nice having Williams in his natural position where he can actually play based on instinct rather than thought. Kreutz and Garza are locked into their positions, and have traditionally been pretty good there. It’s at LG and RT that I’m worried. I know they’re hyping Omiyale at RT right now, but he’s been a disappointment in other games, and I kinda liked what Schaffer did there at the end of last season. At LG, there’s really nobody right now filling that spot. This will be a work in progress this season.
If you would have told me at the end of last season that our defense would have Peppers and Harris guarding the front and back, I would’ve told you that we had a top 5 NFL defense. That was before they unreasonably cut Brown and Vasher and didn’t renew Wale. I’ll start with the good.
Our LB core is IMO the strongest in the NFL. One through six, this core can start on virtually any team in the NFL, and we’ve got 3 of them in backup and special teams positions. Call me an optimist, but I see Urlacher playing out the season. He’s only really had two injuries in his career, and the first time he came back with a VENGEANCE. Briggs is the perfect player for his position in this defense. Fast, strong, big, and instinctive. Love watching this guy fly around the field. On the other side, we’ve got a young gun with a chip on his shoulder, and a veteran looking to prove he’s still got something left in the tank. I really don’t care who wins that battle, but I’d like to see both players on the field at some point. Hillenmeyer is a backup to all three positions. He’s competent at all 3, but unspectacular.
In the secondary, we’ve got IMO a tier 1 CB playing CB2, which I think is a mistake. Peanut has proven over many seasons that he can cover pretty much anybody, and has shut down some of the best WR talents that he has faced, culminating in that very impressive showing against Calvin Johnson in the first game last year. For those that don’t remember, Megatron went OFF against the Bears in the first half, playing mostly against anybody not named Peanut. Second half? Nada. I think two catches for like 20 yards or something like that. Bowman is good, but IMO still raw, and he needs another season working the CB2 position before he gets promoted. This is where Nathan Vasher could’ve made an impact. The guy had one incredible season, and has been injured pretty much since. I think this year he’ll break out again with a team that’s willing to give him a second chance. I just wish it was with the Bears.
Down deep, we’ve got a talented veteran returning to his original team as the most veteran player at his position. Great. Now find somebody to start aside him. I was VERY impressed with Afalava last year, and I’m surprised there’s no talk of him taking one of the Safety spots this year. I was similarly UNimpressed with the other guys we had. Oh yeah. Danieal Manning is not a Safety. He’s a nickel back. He’s been impressive at that position, and I don’t want this team to tamper with a good thing.
In the trenches, we’ve got one of the top 5 DEs in the NFL. Shame we couldn’t build a line around him. I’m not buying the Tommie Harris hype again. We’ve bought into the hype every season since 2006, and I’m getting sick of it. IMO, this is his absolute last chance to prove he’s a top flight DT. Otherwise, we start looking in another direction. Similarly with Anderson, though he’s had ZERO excuse for his drop in play. That was ATROCIOUS. Massive sack machine in his first season, a ghost since then. Letting go of Alex Brown was a mistake that this team will regret in the first game of the season. He wasn’t a spectacular player. But he was solid, knew his role, and could make the little plays that prevent big plays from breaking. Anderson has some big shoes to fill there. At the other DT position, I’ve got no idea who’s starting there. If Brown were still around, I’d say that Israel Idonije would be the best fit in there. He’s more of a DT anyway. But since Brown left, they put Izzy in a tussle for the starting DE spot, and I think that’s a shame and a waste of a good player.
No worries about the Special Teams here. Toub always gets good things out of his players. Johnny Flyer is a special kind of player, and I can easily see him breaking a few BIG runs this season. Bennett is capable on the PR team. I just wish this idiot coaching staff hadn’t ruined the best returner the NFL has ever seen by trying to convert him into a pass-catching WR. BTW, this is the last season Hester has to prove himself as a legitimate WR2, or IMO get rid of the guy.
Based on the matchups, I’ve got us at 9-7, basically losing out to the NFC East, splitting our division except Detroit, and losing to the Patriots.